經過五年的金融風暴和經濟衰退,現在終於有些好消息了。
世界銀行最近修改了他們對今年全球成長的預測。根據世界銀行的一年兩度的全球經濟前景報告指出,全球各國國內生產毛額預計今年將從2013年的2.4%升到3.2%,比世銀六月的預測高了0.2%。另外,日本、美國等國建立起的衝勢也預期會扶持發展中國家更強勁的成長。
儘管全球經濟漸漸回溫,由於先進經濟體顯現的復甦跡象和中國持續表現良好,但世銀還是保持慎重。世銀點出成長的前景仍容易受到利率上升和資本流動的潛在波動影響,因為美聯儲逐漸收回他們的大量貨幣刺激。
就避險來說,世銀強調開發中國家需要採取有結構的改革,以幫助創造工作機會並加強財政系統,並架起社會安全網。
(Business) Gradual Rebound Forecast for Global Economy
After five years of financial crises and recession, there is finally some good news.
The World Bank recently revised its forecast for global growth this year. According to the organizations twice-yearly Global Economics Prospects report, growth in global gross domestic product is projected to firm from 2.4% in 2013 to 3.2% this year, a 0.2% increase from its June forecast. In addition, the momentum which countries such as Japan and the US have built up is also expected to support stronger growth in developing countries.
Although the global economy is slowly picking up steam, with advanced economies showing signs of recovery and China continuing to deliver good performance, the bank remained cautious. It noted that growth prospects are still vulnerable to rising interest rates and potential volatility in capital flows as a result of the US Federal Reserves gradual withdrawal of its massive monetary stimulus.
In terms of risk avoidance, the World Bank stressed the need for developing countries to adopt structural reforms that can help create jobs and strengthen financial systems, and shore up social safety nets.
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