(地方) 全球貿易──中國將扮演什麼角色?

看來中國做好了成為重要國際貿易一員的準備,儘管美國採取了一些小動作。

擁有在未來五年的十兆進口預算(等同於德國國內生產毛額的三倍),這預測對於未來貿易的重要性帶來很大影響。

從2012年以來,中國就此方面極力擴大,當中國登記其商品貿易總值為3.87兆美元,進而成為與其他國家相比,貿易總值最高的國家。

然而美國正對中國施加壓力,在微弱的世界貿易組織裡,美國建立一個以美國為主導的全球貿易模式。這個模式包含兩個部分,一為跨太平洋夥伴關係(TPP),另一為跨大西洋貿易和投資夥伴關係(TTIP)。

美國與歐盟(EU)將結合起來,分別佔全球貿易經濟的一半與三分之一。因為他們掌握了在國際貿易的重要位置,他們也將推出新規則來應對新興經濟。

有幾位專家,例如任教於北京大學國際關係學系的王勇教授,他相信這項動作很明顯是在針對中國。

專家也認為,美國提倡的新貿易規則為智慧財產、勞工保障、和國有企業民營化以及透明化樹立高標準。

(Local) Global Trade V What is Chinas Future Role?

It looks like China is set to be a major international trade partner despite moves made by the US.

With an expected $10 trillion in import over the next five years (which is equivalent to 3 times that of Germanys gross domestic product or GDP) , the forecast carries a lot of weight in terms of future importance in trade.

China has been expanding in this regard since 2012, when it registered a total goods trade value of 3.87 trillion dollars and gained ranking as the highest amongst other countries.

The US, however, is putting pressure on China. With a weak World Trade Organization (WTO) the US is establishing a US-dominated global trade pattern. This pattern is comprised of two parts V the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP).

The US and European Union (EU) will bind together and account for half and one-third of the global trade economy, respectively. As they hold dominant positions in international trade, they will also push for new rules to cope with the rise of new economies.

Some experts, such as Wang Yong, professor of the School of International Studies of Beijing University, believe this move is clearly aimed at targeting China.

Experts also say that the US-promoted new trade rules are setting a high bar for intellectual properties, labor protection, and the privatization and transparency of national enterprises.

 

 

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